Which Claude Sonnet?
48
Ṁ100Ṁ5.6kFeb 26
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
99.5%
Sonnet 4.6
0.1%
Sonnet 4.7
0.4%
Sonnet 5
0.1%
The next anthropic released sonnet model: what will be its name / number?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
Adding NO on Sonnet 4.6. Anthropic's current model page lists exactly three models: Opus 4.6, Sonnet 4.5, Haiku 4.5. "Sonnet 4.6" would require Anthropic to use the Opus version number on the Sonnet line — breaking every naming convention they've established. The next Sonnet will almost certainly be called Sonnet 5 (or possibly something in the 4.x line), not 4.6.
The 50% spike here looks like confusion from SEO articles conflating Fennec (which was Opus 4.6) with a Sonnet release. Primary source: Anthropic Models Page
boughtṀ50 YES
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Manifold consider Claude Sonnet 4.6 to be a frontier model?
82% chance
Claude Sonnet 4.6 METR 50% time horizon
Claude Sonnet 5 METR 50% time horizon
Why is Claude 3.5 Sonnet such a good model for its size?
Will Claude Sonnet 5 exceed 85% on SWE-bench verified?
24% chance
Will Anthropic release Claude Sonnet 5 and Claude Opus 5 on the same day?
20% chance