Chatbot Arena: How high will AI score in 2026?
8
Ṁ1.2kṀ1.9kDec 31
91%
1510+
82%
1520+
76%
1530+
62%
1540+
54%
1550+
42%
1560+
32%
1570+
28%
1580+
22%
1590+
17%
1600+
Resolved
YES1490+
Resolved
YES1500+
An option resolves YES if any model gets at least that option's arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) without style control, before 2026.
This market's resolution mirrors this polymarket but with additional options.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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