Will Trump having serious health troubles during his second term be revealed before 2031? | Manifold

Will Trump having serious health troubles during his second term be revealed before 2031?

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This market proximally caused by renewed interest in this genre of social media post: https://x.com/John_Hudson/status/1945205897950560592 .

Obviously if Trump is having health problems now it might take us a while to hear about it, like with Biden.

Update 2025-07-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has specified an example of a health issue that would not qualify as a "serious health trouble" for the purpose of this market's resolution:
- Chronic Venous Insufficiency

Market context

Trump's Second Term

Republican Party

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He seems likely to have serious health issues in the next three years even if they are not kept hidden.

Increased my prior after seeing this:

https://youtu.be/Mzz_xOjwsH8?si=xKhGyXvlFZ4Yg-Pv

How serious?

I don't think Chronic Venous Insufficiency qualifies

@Eliza Hospitalized for at least 24 hrs, + surgery. Blood clot ...

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