Will the SCOTUS expect the US government to refund the tariffs? | Manifold

Will the SCOTUS expect the US government to refund the tariffs?

23

Ṁ100Ṁ981

Jun 1

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

0.3%

No, because SCOTUS rules them to be constitutional

37%

No, even though SCOTUS ruled them to be unconstitutional

33%

Partially

30%

Yes, entirely or as much as possible

Based on SCOTUS' official ruling in the Learning Resources v. Trump and Trump v. V.O.S. Selections, Inc. case.

In case of ambiguity, I will follow the consensus interpretation of authoritative newspapers (NY Times, Bloomberg News, etc.) or resolve N/A if there is not one.

Market context

Trump's Second Term

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

Will tariff refunds be given out to a majority who paid them?

Will the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit issue an injunction halting the Liberation Day Tarrifs?

Will US supreme count will revoke tariffs sanctioned by trump before 1 march

Will the U.S. Supreme Court issue an injunction halting the Liberation Day tariffs?

Will the US Supreme Court issue a preliminary or permanent injunction halting Tariffs on China?

Will US tariffs be higher in 2025 than 2024?

Trump's "reciprocal tariffs" found unlawful by courts and effectively ceased by EOY 2026?

Will SCOTUS rule in favor of Trump in Trump v. Cook?

Will the US Appeals Court issue a preliminary or permanent injunction halting Tariffs on China?

Will the Trump administration defy any SCOTUS ruling before the end of 2028?

Sort by:

this leaves out "no, and scotus didn't rule on their constitutionality."

@ZaneMiller I'll extend until they do.

@vee if they don't reach the question in this case, and don't hear another such case until trump leaves, then they'd never reach it

@ZaneMiller then N/A

bought Ṁ10 YES

Related market regarding the constitutionality instead of the consequences: https://manifold.markets/Mad2live/how-will-the-scotus-rules-on-trumps

People are also trading

Will tariff refunds be given out to a majority who paid them?

Will the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit issue an injunction halting the Liberation Day Tarrifs?

Will US supreme count will revoke tariffs sanctioned by trump before 1 march

Will the U.S. Supreme Court issue an injunction halting the Liberation Day tariffs?

Will the US Supreme Court issue a preliminary or permanent injunction halting Tariffs on China?

Will US tariffs be higher in 2025 than 2024?

Trump's "reciprocal tariffs" found unlawful by courts and effectively ceased by EOY 2026?

Will SCOTUS rule in favor of Trump in Trump v. Cook?

Will the US Appeals Court issue a preliminary or permanent injunction halting Tariffs on China?

Will the Trump administration defy any SCOTUS ruling before the end of 2028?

Related questions

Will tariff refunds be given out to a majority who paid them?

Will the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit issue an injunction halting the Liberation Day Tarrifs?

Will US supreme count will revoke tariffs sanctioned by trump before 1 march

Will the U.S. Supreme Court issue an injunction halting the Liberation Day tariffs?

Will the US Supreme Court issue a preliminary or permanent injunction halting Tariffs on China?

Will US tariffs be higher in 2025 than 2024?

Trump's "reciprocal tariffs" found unlawful by courts and effectively ceased by EOY 2026?

Will SCOTUS rule in favor of Trump in Trump v. Cook?

Will the US Appeals Court issue a preliminary or permanent injunction halting Tariffs on China?

Will the Trump administration defy any SCOTUS ruling before the end of 2028?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy