MANIFOLD
Will there be a major movie about OpenClaw by EOY 2027?
7
แน€100แน€275
2027
12%
chance

As Alex Finn suggested in his livestream: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CIgDfVSDmMU

Major movie means produced by a large movie studio, not a small production. I won't bet.

  • Update 2026-02-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): "Large movie studio" will be determined by whether the creator would have a reasonable chance of hearing about the movie outside of their AI internet circle, or if they know a non-AI person who heard about it/watched it.

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What do you consider a "large movie studio?" Could you list them, please?

@ChurlishGambit Can't list them, but my judgement would basically be if I would have a reasonable chance of hearing about it outside of my AI internet circle, or I know a non-AI person who heard about it/watched it.

@realDonaldTrump But a non-AI person could also hear about a movie that was a "small production." That's a nonsensical criterion.

@ChurlishGambit If you don't want to bet, you don't have to

@realDonaldTrump I'm aware, it's just bizarre to make criteria that make no sense

@ChurlishGambit Do you have a better suggestion?

I'm a master of criteria that makes no sense.

@realDonaldTrump Well why not at least describe what a "major studio" is? Because "people have heard of it" has absolutely nothing to do with the size of the studio nor the size of the budget.

& what if it's an indie production, with a $100 million budget? That isn't a "small production," but it isn't by a studio.

@ChurlishGambit honestly i don't really care enough in such an illiquid market, i'm not willing to continue this discussion.

@realDonaldTrump You asked for suggestions, don't get upset when they're provided

@ChurlishGambit Bro... do you really have to be this rude on every market I see? Leave him alone.

@Qoiuoiuoiu Why is it rude to ask for clarification?

@ChurlishGambit It's not. But you kept pushing even when it was clear that he was annoyed/upset. I get you like clear criteria, but you don't have to be oppositional about it. Work with the creator, not against them bro.

Like - sometimes it's useful to ask for clarifying criteria. But on a market with vaguer criteria, like this one, a really specific question like yours just isn't productive. It's probably better to ask something like "How does this resolve?".

@Qoiuoiuoiu He asked me for suggestions, man

@ChurlishGambit I read "do you have a better suggestion" as more of a rhetorical question. Besides, you could be less blunt about it.

Also, Mr. Trump, I apologize for suborning your comments section. I'll shut up now.

@Qoiuoiuoiu No, thank you, kind citizen

@ChurlishGambit I've decided to block you because you've put annoying comments on my markets multiple times now, and it's not a good use of my time or energy to keep reading them.

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