OpenAI launches physical device when?
12
แน100แน2172027
49%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Physical device is any AI-powered physical item that anyone can purchase for less than $10,000 and have delivered to their house within 3 months.
Resolves YES if by end of this year, 50% if by end of 2027, NO if not by end of 2027.
Update 2026-02-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Partnership devices count: If OpenAI partners with another company to make a device, it will still count as an OpenAI product for resolution purposes.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
When will OpenAI Announce AI Robots?
when will OpenAI have announced they have achieved AGI?
Will OpenAI ship a hardware device in 2026?
29% chance
First OpenAI + io hardware product wearable?
23% chance
When will OpenAI's first consumer hardware device be released? (Jony Ive Sam Altman IO) ๐ค๐ฑ๐
What kind of device will the Johnny Ive OpenAI collaboration first release? [Suggest options]
OpenAI sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?
11% chance
When will OpenAI release a robotics model?
When will OpenAI first turn a profit?
12/16/32
OpenAI announces commercial humanoid robot by EOY 2027?
39% chance