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Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
84
Ṁ100Ṁ6.8k
Dec 31
10%
chance

  • Update 2026-02-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market will resolve YES if someone in the government of the US (someone that represents the US, such as the President) publicly confirms that aliens exist before 2027.

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Does a conformation count if there are no aliens?

Does this include statements prior to market creation?

Would any past events qualify, if something equivalent were to happen during the market period?

The process that will be used to resolve this is if someone in the government of the US (someone that represents the US, ex: Trump) publicly confirms that aliens exist before 2027.

@konga do microbes count? Can it be a random whistleblower or congressmen?

@konga By "aliens" you mean specifically extraterrestrial life, not a person in a country who is not a national of that country, right?

This market is quite vague, and I won't bet on it.

This could range from single-celled microbes on Mars to non-human intelligence currently on Earth to confirming the claims that Biblical sightings of angels were actually non-human. There is no requirement to the level of proof; is replication required for whatever evidence is released?

I wish there was some way to cause the mods to enforce clarification, as this is just going to lead people to waste mana and create controversy.

Please explain the process you will use to resolve this.

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