First to lose power: Khomeini, Trump or Netanyahu?
122
Ṁ10kṀ26k2040
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
62%
Mojtaba Khomeini
12%
Donald Trump
26%
Benjamin Netanyahu
Which of these leaders in the conflict between US & Israel and Iran will be the first to lose power?
Any process or event by which they lose their position would count, e.g. democratic process, revolution, ill health, death.
In unclear or confusing circumstances I will make a judgement based on major international media reports and Wikipedia entries within one month of credible reports.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Leader of Iran at end of 2026?
When will Donald Trump lose power?
2028
Trump or Netanyahu: Who Lives Longer?
Iran leadership change by...?
If Khamenei is forcibly removed from power, will the Islamic regime survive?
62% chance
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be killed by US/Israeli forces in 2026?
39% chance
Will Biden, Trump, Putin, or Xi die first?
Which of these Four World Leaders in Asia will lose power first?
Iranian Regime survives Trump Administration?
59% chance
If Khamenei or Epstein faked their deaths, will Trump do a backflip, XOR will Putin not release a sex tape, by 2100?
88% chance