Will Anthropic's next ARR figure show an accelerating % growth rate?
6
Ṁ250Ṁ192May 19
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Resolution Criteria
Resolves based off of epoch data.
Resolves YES if Anthropic's Compounded Monthly Growth Rate (CMGR) between Apr 6 and the next data point is greater than the baseline:
The Baseline (Jan 1, 2026 – April 6, 2026):
Start ARR: $9 Billion (Dec. 31, 2025)
End ARR: $30 Billion (April 6, 2026)
Duration: 3.17 months (96 days)
Baseline CMGR: 45.9% per month > Formula: [(30/9)(1/3.17)−1]×100
Resolves NO otherwise.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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