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MANIFOLD
Will Gavin Newsom ever become the President of the USA?
44
Ṁ1kṀ4.8k
2070
22%
chance

This will resolve to YES when Gavin Newsom becomes President of the USA.
This will resolve to NO when it is no longer technically possible

Market context
United States
2024 US Presidential Election
Future US Presidents
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related:

bought Ṁ93 NO

https://reason.com/2024/02/28/why-is-panera-exempted-from-californias-new-minimum-wage-law/
It seems like this sort of thing hurts his chances.

predictedYES

“If Trump wasn’t running, I’m not sure I’d be running,” [Biden] told donors at the Weston, Mass.

Why is this so high? Shouldn't the prior or anyone except Trump or Biden being president be really low? Especially given that the presidency is likely to stop existing in its current state after AGI, so there are only a few left to happen.

He definitely seems to be getting ready for something, eh.

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