After 3 years on Manifold as an anonymous account, I've decided to reveal my identity to get better predictions on a major life decision.
I'm a 20-year-old CS student at the University of Toronto Mississauga with ~0.9 years left. I have until February 9, 2026 (last day to drop Winter 2026 courses with a 50% fee refund) to decide whether to drop out. This market is conditional on me dropping out by February 9. See companion market for the other path: https://manifold.markets/ZZZZZZ/what-will-my-net-income-be-in-2030-ZZUyuEyQ9S. See also: https://manifold.markets/ZZZZZZ/will-i-drop-out-of-university
Grades: https://pastebin.com/spuDRzft
Net income from all sources in calendar year 2030 (USD), after taxes. Excludes passive investment returns. If I do NOT drop out, this market resolves N/A.
Feel free to ask questions in the comments.
1,000UPDATE: Me and the ex Moving Papa CEO signed the 50/50 4 years vesting YC agreement for his new venture. He also recently sold Moving Papa (mentioned here: https://manifold.markets/ZZZZZZ/will-i-drop-out-of-university#yz7ofcxm93) for a seven figure exit.