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How many live births will China report having in 2025?
8
Ṁ130Ṁ916
2027
98%
More than 6 million
98%
More than 7 million
2%
More than 8 million
2%
More than 8.5 million
2%
More than 8.7 million
2%
More than 8.8 million
2%
More than 8.9 million
2%
More than 9.02 million (the number of births China had in 2023)
2%
More than 9.2 million
2%
More than 9.4 million
2%
More than 9.56 million (the number of births China had in 2022)
2%
More than 10 million
2%
More than 10.62 million (the number of births China had in 2021)

This question will resolve based on figures released by the National Bureau of Statistics of China.

This number excludes "residents of Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan, and foreigners living in the 31 provinces, autonomous regions and municipalities."

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Marriage data from 2024 [6.1M] is interesting https://www.cfr.org/blog/marriages-china-crash-portending-deeper-demographic-woes
"The sharp one-year decline partially reflects unusual circumstances in 2023. Many couples accelerated marriage plans into 2023 in order to ensure their child would be born in 2024: the year of the dragon, an auspicious year for childbirth in Chinese culture. This produced both an artificial increase in 2023 marriages [7.68M] as well as 2024 births" [9.54]

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