MANIFOLD
Who will be guests on the Dwarkesh Patel podcast in 2026?
24
Ṁ6kṀ7.5k
Dec 31
61%
Sarah Paine
50%
Dean Ball
50%
Dwarkesh Patel (see note)
45%
Dylan Patel (as guest)
45%
Dean Spears
39%
Tyler Cowen
39%
Amanda Askell
37%
Alec Radford
34%
Yann LeCun
34%
Demis Hassabis
34%
Joscha Bach
34%
Gary Marcus
34%
François Chollet
34%
Holden Karnofsky
31%
Tamay Besiroglu
31%
Sundar Pichai
31%
Jack Clark
31%
Jensen Huang
31%
Satya Nadella
28%
roon

Resolves YES to every guest who appears on the podcast. The episode must not merely be recorded but also be released to the public, officially, not via a leak, for it to count.

Any submissions made after the podcast episode is released to the public will be N/A'd.

Dwarkesh Patel option note

Will resolve YES if there is an episode where he is interviewed, like the AMA episode from 25th March 2025

  • Update 2026-02-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Collaborative episodes (where Dwarkesh collaborates with another podcast/creator) will count for resolution purposes if the episode appears on the Dwarkesh podcast feed and YouTube channel.

Market context
Culture
Celebrities
YouTube
Podcasts
Dwarkesh Patel
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

Who will be guest on the Dwarkesh Patel podcast?
Dwarkesh's mystery guest revealed by Aug 21, 2026?
8% chance
Will Dwarkesh Patel interview a current or former US President before 2027?
13% chance
Who would be Dwarkesh’s “biggest guest yet” if they were interviewed?
Who is Dwarkesh's upcoming "biggest guest yet"?
Will Dwarkesh do a podcast with Satoshi Nakamoto before 2031?
9% chance
Will Parmita Mishra be interviewed by Lex Fridman OR Dwarkesh Patel by EOY 2030?
61% chance
Will Dwarkesh Patel be a NYT bestselling author before 2027?
14% chance
Will Dwarkesh Patel interview Jose Luis Ricon by 2040?
61% chance
Will Manifold agree that Dwarkesh's upcoming guest is "by far [his] biggest yet"? (Resolves to poll)
27% chance
Sort by:
sold Ṁ22 NO

Reluctantly resolved Elon to YES. It's on the Dwarkesh podcast feed, and YouTube channel

To my knowledge it's the first colab episode which is why it wasn't made explicit in the resolution criteria.

@RS 👍 I would add that he also ran his ads on it.

bought Ṁ210 YES

@RS https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BYXbuik3dgA

Alec Radford

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1-uvi8eyAt0

People are also trading

Who will be guest on the Dwarkesh Patel podcast?
Dwarkesh's mystery guest revealed by Aug 21, 2026?
8% chance
Will Dwarkesh Patel interview a current or former US President before 2027?
13% chance
Who would be Dwarkesh’s “biggest guest yet” if they were interviewed?
Who is Dwarkesh's upcoming "biggest guest yet"?
Will Dwarkesh do a podcast with Satoshi Nakamoto before 2031?
9% chance
Will Parmita Mishra be interviewed by Lex Fridman OR Dwarkesh Patel by EOY 2030?
61% chance
Will Dwarkesh Patel be a NYT bestselling author before 2027?
14% chance
Will Dwarkesh Patel interview Jose Luis Ricon by 2040?
61% chance
Will Manifold agree that Dwarkesh's upcoming guest is "by far [his] biggest yet"? (Resolves to poll)
27% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy