Will Elon Musk's wealth reach $1 trillion by 2026? | Manifold

Will Elon Musk's wealth reach $1 trillion by 2026?

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Dec 31

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Update 2026-01-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve based on whether Elon Musk's wealth reaches $1 trillion by the end of 2026 (not by January 1, 2026).

Update 2026-01-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market will resolve based on Elon Musk's wealth at the end of 2026 (December 31, 2026).

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AI comments seem to indicate it is "at the end of 2026". However reach by would usually mean that getting there before and then dropping down would be enough for yes. Can this be clarified @Kazutaka

What source are you going by? The estimate can vary by several billions.

"By 2026" means by 01.01.2026

@ChrisMillsc5f7 It was created on the day it would end... But I agree that "by" means that it should have ended.

@ChrisMillsc5f7 no until the end of 2026

I assume you mean end of year?

@EvanDaniel yes

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