How many months will elapse between general availability of Level 5 self driving and the first strong AGI? | Manifold

How many months will elapse between general availability of Level 5 self driving and the first strong AGI?

2

Ṁ70Ṁ40

2100

62%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves PROB to the number of months. YES if >100, NO if <0

Market context

Self-Driving Vehicles

Get

1,000

to start trading!

Sort by:

I suppose I need to precisely define my terms here

People are also trading

Will we get AGI before 1M humanoid robots are manufactured?

-3% 1d59% chance

when will OpenAI have announced they have achieved AGI?

Will Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) be required for Level 5 Self-Driving Cars?

By when will we have AGI?

Will six months or fewer elapse between when Manifold declares the achievement of AGI and superintelligence?

Will there be less than a year between the first AGI and the first superintelligence?

Will we get AGI before July 1st 2026?

Will Level 5 self driving cars be available by (YEAR)?

Will ASI be developed 5+ years after AGI?

Will AI be officially recognized as ‘AGI’ (Artificial General Intelligence) before the end of 2027?

Related questions

Will we get AGI before 1M humanoid robots are manufactured?

when will OpenAI have announced they have achieved AGI?

Will Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) be required for Level 5 Self-Driving Cars?

By when will we have AGI?

Will six months or fewer elapse between when Manifold declares the achievement of AGI and superintelligence?

Will there be less than a year between the first AGI and the first superintelligence?

Will we get AGI before July 1st 2026?

Will Level 5 self driving cars be available by (YEAR)?

Will ASI be developed 5+ years after AGI?

Will AI be officially recognized as ‘AGI’ (Artificial General Intelligence) before the end of 2027?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy