MANIFOLD
Graham Platner and James Talarico both win their primaries?
92
Ṁ1.1kṀ130k
Mar 3
56%
chance
7

Resolves YES if Graham Platner is the winner of the Maine Democratic primary for senate in 2026, and James Talarico is the winner of the Texas Democratic primary for senate in 2026

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bought Ṁ500 YES

This is underpriced. 0.8*0.65=52%

January ActBlue Numbers Donations from people in Maine

Platner: 6,213

Mills: 1,534

bought Ṁ50 YES

@Jack1 platner has financial support of Dems in maine and gets good crowds. Hard to seem him losing

@traders you can now trade on them both winning the primaries AND general elections!

opened a Ṁ2,000 YES at 51% order

Let's trade, friendos!

reposted

This is up to 10k subsidy and good size limit orders on it!

Ttrade on Talarico v Crockett margin of victory

opened a Ṁ3,000 YES at 45% order

These guys are so much better than their opponents. If Voters are logical These guys will win easy.

bought Ṁ100 NO

@Jack1 big bet on a conditional we already know is false lol xD

opened a Ṁ3,500 YES at 32% order

I put a big limit order up

reposted

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