Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?
16
Ṁ480Ṁ496
2040
21%
The Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer conjecture
11%
The Hodge conjecture
43%
Navier–Stokes existence and smoothness
4%
P versus NP
12%
The Riemann hypothesis
9%
Yang–Mills existence and mass gap

Market context
Math
Millennium Prize Problems
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

New version with fixed payouts:

People are also trading

Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040?
-5% 1d23% chance
Will some Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI before 2032?
-17% 1d41% chance
When will one of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved?
Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?
Will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved by an amateur?
10% chance
Which of the Millenium Prize problems will be solved next?
Will some Millennium Prize Prize Problem be solved in 2026?
6% chance
By the end of what year will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved?
Which AI lab will be the first to solve a millennium prize problem?
Will all Millennium Prize problems by solved by the end of the century?
74% chance