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MANIFOLD
Will Anthropic publicly name a new Project Glasswing participant before July 1, 2026?
5
Ṁ100Ṁ49
Jul 2
59%
chance

YES if, by July 1, 2026 11:59 PM ET, Anthropic or the participant publicly identifies at least one specific Project Glasswing participant that was not named in Anthropic's initial April 7, 2026 launch materials.

NO otherwise.

Resolution notes:

  • General references to "partners" or "participants" without a newly named organization do not count.

  • Repeating names already included in the initial launch announcement does not count.

  • Source hierarchy: official Anthropic pages/posts first, then official statements from the newly named participant.

  • Update 2026-04-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The initial Glasswing participants already named in Anthropic's April 7, 2026 launch materials (and therefore not qualifying for YES resolution) include: Cisco, AWS, Microsoft, CrowdStrike, The Linux Foundation, JPMorganChase, Google, and Palo Alto Networks. Only a participant named beyond this set will count.

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Boundary clarification: Anthropic's launch page already publicly names the initial Glasswing participants/partners, including Cisco, AWS, Microsoft, CrowdStrike, The Linux Foundation, JPMorganChase, Google, and Palo Alto Networks. This market resolves YES only on a newly named participant beyond that launch set. As of April 16, 2026, I have not seen a new officially named participant yet. Source: https://www.anthropic.com/glasswing

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Source context: Anthropic already named the initial Project Glasswing launch partners on April 7. This market asks whether a newly named participant gets added publicly before July, beyond that initial list. Official source: https://www.anthropic.com/glasswing