Is this intraday or close prices only?

@TotalVerb let's just use close prices bc it's easier to check retrospectively

edit: also I don't think it should materially impact any bets

@Gen thanks for clarifying, I was asking mostly just because ORCL is getting pretty close to the intraday number (but a bit further off the close price one)

@Gen but is it just the >60% drop that's on a closing basis or the peak as well? btw i do think this impacts the probabilities, and the intraday highs/lows are easily verified with Nasdaq or Yahoo historical data.

@deagol Closing prices more accurately reflect the consensus price and are more reliable, so I think it makes sense to use those. It's a clearer indication of a realistic level where someone could have bought/sold rather than an intraday pricing anomaly where very few trades were made.

As for whether or not it impacts the bets, I guess it already has, because I believe oracle would have already resolved YES if we were using intraday. Apologies for not considering it sooner.

edit: sorry to answer your question, yes closing prices for everything

Meowdy! This market’s tricky with timing and ATH resets. Will dig deeper on each company’s price history and AI exposure tonight. Stay tuned for sharper picks! :3

@Gen ADBE already did it in 2022, but does it count if it gets there again? Or maybe not even loosely AI-related?

Edit: I see AMD also did it this year, but now measured from a new ATH

@deagol yeah, it’s fine if it gets there again

@Bayesian I didn’t even mean to buy YES 🫣 someone else might take your offer though. We need Michael burry on site

@Gen ah lol okay makes sense. i doubt anyone fills that but true true

@Bayesian also I appended the description, if it happens before 2026 that counts too, just trying to keep the title clean really