MANIFOLD
First year in which Merriam Webster adds a new English word which was known to have been invented by an AI
5
Ṁ100Ṁ77
2033
3%
2025
13%
2026
5%
2027
5%
2028
14%
2029
16%
2030
10%
2031
10%
2032
22%
2033 or later or never

Market context
AI Impacts
Linguistics
Changes in the English Language
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reposted

oo good one

How can I pay people to bet nowadays I'm really curious why the public thinks

bought Ṁ1 YES

@Ernie I'm pretty sure it will be this year.

@Ernie Vaguely relevant: this year's word of the year from Merriam Webster was "slop"

@jim very close!! Do we know that ai didn't help with it's coinage?

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Will AI extend English before 2032?
68% chance
Will all 5 major English dictionaries pick an AI-related Word of the Year for 2026?
11% chance
By the end of 2028, will any of the Merriam-Webster Word of the Year finalists be AI-generated?
15% chance
Will AI extend English before 2031?
67% chance
Before 2027, will there be an AI-written competitor to Wikipedia which I prefer over 2024 Wikipedia?
22% chance
Will AI be successfully editing Wikipedia unassisted, adding substantive original cited prose, before 2040?
72% chance
Will AI be successfully editing Wikipedia unassisted, adding substantive original cited prose, before 2030?
68% chance
In what year will an AI be named Time Person of the Year?
First human-AI marriages recognized when?
2069
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