When will manifold shut down?

MANIFOLD

Ṁ1kṀ9.6k

2100

Before 2027

Before 2028

12%

Before 2029

21%

Before 2030

32%

Before 2040

55%

Before 2050

Resolved

Before 2025

Resolved

Before 2026

Market context

Manifold

Manifold Features

Manifold Business Future

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When will manifold love shut down?

Will another unofficial mana financial service/product ran by users be shut down by Manifold by EOY 2026?

69% chance

Will Manifold still be functioning by 2030?

88% chance

If a third party starts allowing Manifold users to cash out their mana for real money, will Manifold shut it down?

93% chance

How many traders will this question get before Manifold shuts down?

Will Manifold still be running at the end of 2027?

87% chance

Manifold announces domain change to manifold.com before August 24, 2027

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bought Ṁ77 NO

@Daniel_MC Resolves NO, it's 2026

Is there any reason to buy yes? Are you hoping to get mana on manifolds successor if it shuts down?

@smnsmnsmnsmns you can profit from the risk increasing.

@Daniel_MC happy to take the other side given in the long term mana is close to useless if manifold shuts down

bought Ṁ38 NO

@Daniel_MC Resolves NO

@lisamarsh ❤️

reposted

Almost free 4%

People are also trading

When will manifold love shut down?

Will another unofficial mana financial service/product ran by users be shut down by Manifold by EOY 2026?

69% chance

Will Manifold still be functioning by 2030?

88% chance

If a third party starts allowing Manifold users to cash out their mana for real money, will Manifold shut it down?

93% chance

How many traders will this question get before Manifold shuts down?

Will Manifold still be running at the end of 2027?

87% chance

Manifold announces domain change to manifold.com before August 24, 2027

38% chance

People are also trading

People are also trading

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