
Will a cure for cancer happen before 2030
10
Ṁ100Ṁ1632030
17%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This resolves YES if before 2030 a cure for cancer with a success rate of 80% or more comes out.
This resolves NO if otherwise.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
By 2050, will there be a cure to aging?
43% chance
Will aging be cured by 2100?
60% chance
By 2030, will there be a cure to aging?
11% chance
Will we get a cure for cancer before 2030?
6% chance
Will we get a cure for cancer before 2033?
18% chance
Will we get a cure for cancer before 2031?
11% chance
Will we get a cure for cancer before 2037?
26% chance
Will we get a cure for cancer before 2035?
20% chance
Will we get a cure for cancer before 2034?
19% chance
Will we get a cure for cancer before 2036?
23% chance
Sort by:
@DallasSchmidt why don't existing therapies like chemotherapy/immunotherapy count as a cure per your definition?
People are also trading
Related questions
By 2050, will there be a cure to aging?
43% chance
Will aging be cured by 2100?
60% chance
By 2030, will there be a cure to aging?
11% chance
Will we get a cure for cancer before 2030?
6% chance
Will we get a cure for cancer before 2033?
18% chance
Will we get a cure for cancer before 2031?
11% chance
Will we get a cure for cancer before 2037?
26% chance
Will we get a cure for cancer before 2035?
20% chance
Will we get a cure for cancer before 2034?
19% chance
Will we get a cure for cancer before 2036?
23% chance