Will two decabillionaires have a publicized physical fight before 2030?
9
Ṁ160Ṁ2172030
18%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Elon Musk recently said he was up to a cage fight against Zuckerberg.
But one of them seems to have backed out of the idea since then.
Will two decabillionaires get into a publicized physical battle, before 2030?
Decabillionaires are people whose networth is above 10 billion dollars. Their networth will be considered at the time of the fight.
See also:
/Bayesian/will-two-billionaires-have-a-public
/Bayesian/will-two-billionaires-have-a-public-fa89bfc89aa5
/Bayesian/will-two-billionaires-have-a-public-5fd2b59748ca
/Bayesian/will-two-decabillionaires-have-a-pu (This one)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will the Elon Musk and Mark Zuckerberg fight happen before 2027?
3% chance
Will two centabillionaires have a publicized physical fight before 2030?
23% chance
Conditional on two decabillionaires having a publicized physical fight before 2030, will the richer one win?
44% chance
Will two billionaires have a publicized physical fight in 2026?
12% chance
Will there be a trillionaire by the end of 2028?
71% chance
Will anyone become a trillionaire before 2030?
83% chance
Musk, Zuck, or Bezos physically fight someone in space anytime through 2031
6% chance
Will the world see a trillionaire before the year 2035?
83% chance
Will there be manifold billionaire by 2030
72% chance
Will there be a trillionaire by June 2026?
8% chance