Anthropic 2028 peak valuation

MANIFOLD

Ṁ1kṀ762

2029

<200B

200B - 300B

300B - 400B

400B - 500B

500B - 600B

600B - 700B

700B - 800B

800B - 900B

900B - 1T

74%

Other

Resolves to a consensus of reliable sources. Secondary market transactions are not used to determine the valuation. Buckets are left-inclusive.

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Anthropic 2026 peak valuation

Will Anthropic have a higher valuation than OpenAI on April 18, 2029?

60% chance

Will Anthropic surpass OpenAI valuation in 2026?

60% chance

Anthropic 60B revenue annual run rate on July 6, 2026?

25% chance

On June 1, will OpenAI be valued higher than Anthropic?

20% chance

At what valuation will Anthropic IPO? (M1000 subsidy)

Anthropic 2025 Revenue

Anthropic 2027 peak valuation

Will Anthropic Annual Recurring Revenue be under $90bn end of 2026?

53% chance

Anthropic reaches $1T+ valuation before OpenAI?

56% chance

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Made a related question: What will be the valuation of Anthropic at IPO?

I might remake these markets in a few days with more sensible ranges per answer. Open to suggestions. mb if i N/A these in that case

@Bayesian any plans for this still?

@Siebe yes, so sorry

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Anthropic 2026 peak valuation

Will Anthropic have a higher valuation than OpenAI on April 18, 2029?

+10% 1d60% chance

Will Anthropic surpass OpenAI valuation in 2026?

60% chance

Anthropic 60B revenue annual run rate on July 6, 2026?

-6% 1d25% chance

On June 1, will OpenAI be valued higher than Anthropic?

-10% 1d20% chance

At what valuation will Anthropic IPO? (M1000 subsidy)

Anthropic 2025 Revenue

Anthropic 2027 peak valuation

Will Anthropic Annual Recurring Revenue be under $90bn end of 2026?

53% chance

Anthropic reaches $1T+ valuation before OpenAI?

56% chance

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