MANIFOLD
Will the Cascadia megaearthquake (magnitude 8.0 or above) in the Pacific NW happen by 2035?
16
Ṁ1kṀ736
2036
24%
chance
Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

2035 because that's the period that we care about (...AGI probably by then)

Will the Cascadia megaearthquake (magnitude 8.0 or above) in the Pacific NW happen by 2035?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

People are also trading

Will a major earthquake (above 8.0 magnitude) strike a populated area in the Pacific Ring of Fire within five years?
+4% 1d82% chance
Where will the largest magnitude Earthquake be in 2026?
Will there be a megaquake anywhere in the world by March 31st, 2026?
-5% 1d12% chance
Will the Cascadia Subduction Zone experience a earthquake of magnitude at least 8.0 before 2073?
34% chance
Will the Cascadia subduction zone experience a Megathrust earthquake before 2050?
46% chance
Will California experience an earthquake of magnitude 8.0 or greater before 2030?
9% chance
Will California experience an earthquake of magnitude 7.5 or greater before 2030?
24% chance
Will San Francisco experience a major earthquake before 2030?
12% chance
Will we be able to predict earthquakes by 2035?
32% chance
Will a large earthquake rock a major city that isn't in a tectonically active area by end 2029?
35% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy