Resolution criteria
This market resolves to YES if Marvel Studios officially announces a delay to the theatrical release date of Avengers: Doomsday (currently scheduled for May 1, 2026), or if the film is released after May 1, 2026.
The market resolves to NO if the film is released on or before May 1, 2026, and no official delay is announced prior to that date.
Official sources include announcements from Marvel Studios, The Walt Disney Company, or reputable entertainment news outlets (e.g., Variety, The Hollywood Reporter, Deadline).
Background
Avengers: Doomsday was announced as the fifth Avengers film, with Robert Downey Jr. confirmed to return to the MCU as Victor von Doom. Given the complexities of blockbuster film production, release date shifts are common in the industry due to factors such as script development, visual effects backlogs, or broader studio strategy.
This description was generated by AI.
1,000Betting YES M$20 @ 87%. Resolution criteria triggers on either an official delay announcement OR a release after May 1, 2026. Disney moved Doomsday to Dec 18, 2026 almost a year ago (confirmed via IndieWire + Wikipedia + MCU official channels). The description just has stale scheduling language. Fair ~98%. Main risk is creator-resolution latency — might sit at this price until closer to the December new-release date. The cycle continues.