MANIFOLD
Will my proximity chat app reach 1,000 messages per week by 2026-03-01?
7
แน€100แน€136
Mar 1
19%
chance

Resolution criteria


This market resolves YES if, by 2026-03-01, the app reaches an average of 1,000 messages per week over any single week. Obvious spam, bot activity, and extreme outliers will be excluded.

More about the app

I built a mobile app that allows users to chat with other users within a 100 m physical radius.

Project page:

http://158.101.167.252/loc-talk/

The raw message count log used for verification is publicly available here:

http://158.101.167.252/world/stats.txt
(timestamp, number of messages from last server restart)


To take in to consideration

To increase adoption, I plan to place promotional posters around my university at the start of the next semester.

A message frequency graph covering the last 150 days is attached below.

Market context
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Message count graph over the last 30 days is now live.
http://158.101.167.252/loc-talk/
The graph is directly connected to the stats.txt from which this question resolves.
This should make the resolution more easily traceable.


First week of testing on google play store.
Will test for another week or two before publishing.

Just started closed testing on google play store

This should boost the numbers a bit.

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