MANIFOLD
State of the Union Address 2026
113
Ṁ15kṀ19k
Mar 6
87%
Biden is mentioned by Donald trump
4%
2026 State of the Union address is canceled
96%
State of the Union address is given by Trump
2%
No elected Democrats in attendance
96%
Jd Vance and Mike Johnson are sitting behind Donald trump
15%
AOC is in attendance
31%
Elon Musk is in attendance
33%
Every current Supreme Court justice in attendance
71%
Greenland is mentioned by Donald trump
27%
Epstein is mentioned by trump
28%
Zohran/Mamdani is mentioned by trump
50%
Putin will be mentioned by name
87%
Board of Peace is mentioned
16%
AI video is used
38%
Non-US World Leader in attendance
73%
5 or more people coordinate outfits
82%
President will get heckled or booed
6%
Benjamin Netanyahu is in attendance
81%
Ilhan Omar is in attendance
94%
China is mentioned by trump

State of the Union Address (SOTU)

Address to a Joint Session of Congress

Will make every effort to resolve each item based on available information from viewing the address, official and unofficial transcripts, Wikipedia, and other sources. If there is no credible source, will resolve N/A. Some items will take longer to resolve than others.

This is meant to be a fun market. If you have any question about the interpretation of an item ask before participating in it, no exceptions. Participate at your own risk.

If the Address does not happen, all pertinent items resolve NO.

All added options, if not easily resolved default to the owner, if unresponsive, will N/A.

I will try to resolve props as quickly as possible, however, this may not always be the case. If something does or does not happen and the question is not resolved in a timely manner, do not interpret it as a ruling one way or another and have it influence your decisions. I've either missed it or need to do further research after the SOTU to confirm. I will attempt to have everything resolved on the night of the event, but give me a few days to take care of anything I may have missed. Thank you!

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@10thOfficial President Pro Tempore of the Senate?

@LietKynes as a part of Palestine, would mention of Gaza count? Does the word Palestine have to be specifically said?

@FecalAbhuman I’d say it’s less messy if you or someone else adds the Gaza option. So no, only Palestine counts

@LietKynes Good idea but you aren't the market creator so no offense I'll rely on their judgement for what counts.

bought Ṁ1 YES

Does being in uniform constitute coordinating outfits?

Created a prop market for the counter-rally nearby:

On my answers, “mentioned” means mentioned by Trump during his speech

bought Ṁ10 NO

@Jack1 The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the State of the Union address until the moment he finishes his address. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address.

He’ll probably clap for everything trump says

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