Which lab will be first to get to 20 hours on the METR graph?
21
Ṁ1kṀ1.3kDec 31
31%
OpenAI
24%
Google DeepMind
35%
Anthropic
7%
xAI
3%
Will use values from the graph here:
https://metr.org/blog/2025-03-19-measuring-ai-ability-to-complete-long-tasks/
50% time-horizon, using latest version of the Time Horizon measurement available at the time (i.e. would be 1.1 unless they did a new one)
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