MANIFOLD
Who will make Indonesia's IMO 2026 Team?
18
Ṁ400Ṁ4k
Jun 30
73%
Steven Abiel Cahyono
72%
Jenover Viano Yoshield
61%
Danica Odelia
60%
Jayden Jurianto
60%
Yusril Ihsan Adinatanegara
56%
Neilson Huang
52%
Chrysander Immanuel Ambrose Setiawan
45%
Hansen Marcello Chandra
31%
Brandon Ferdinand Gunawan
29%
Fernando Almer Renjiro
28%
Matthew Ravanelli Tjiptono
27%
Janssen Samuel Halim
21%
Ketut Andra Nugraha Utama
21%
Winston Christian Gani
13%
Herry Herdiana
8%
Kenzie Al Hassan Satria

I don't know whether Indonesian math olympiad people has manifold or not, but here it goes:

Each person will resolve YES/NO on whether or not they will qualify for Indonesia's IMO 2026 team. If a person qualifies but cannot participate due to visa issues, IMO 2026 cancelled, etc, it will still resolve YES.

If a historically unprecedented event happens where a person qualifies but declines, that person will resolve NO, and the person who takes the spot will resolve YES.

Past IMO veteran scores will usually get cut, by 5%-15%, we are still waiting for the exact figure this year. Historical veteran discounts (only ones I have data):

TST 2025: Veteran scores got a 8% cut

TST 2024: Veteran scores got a 7% cut

TST 2023: Veteran scores got a 10% cut

TST 2018: Veteran scores got a 10% cut

(Example: if you got a score of 79 and got a 8% cut, your final score would be 79 × 0.92 = 72.68)

The only IMO veteran is HM IMO 2025 Danica Odelia, the rest have not yet made IMO.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy