How old will the Republican Party's Presidential Nominee for the 2028 US Presidental Election be?
29
Ṁ1kṀ2.5k2028
99%
Over 35
87%
Over 40
50%
Over 45
48%
Over 50
44%
Over 55
41%
Over 60
31%
Over 65
28%
Over 70
25%
Over 75
7%
Over 80
2%
Over 85
Age will be determined by their age on election day, 2028.
Any amount of time once they've reached the age will mean they've over that age; that is to say, someone does not have to turn 41 for the "Over 40" option to resolve YES, so long as they have turned 40 by election day.
This market will resolve once the nominee is chosen by the party at the National Convention.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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