MANIFOLD
Will clued-in people be talking about ASI-Arch as a significant inflection point in July 2026?
14
Ṁ1kṀ1.7k
Jul 29
16%
chance

https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.18074

Resolves based on whether organic and serious discussion to this effect can be shown happening in July 2026, from people I can be persuaded are clued in.

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