MANIFOLD
When will Relativity's Terran R rocket launch?
2
Ṁ250Ṁ80
2029
September 29, 2027
6%
Q4 2026
10%
Q1 2027
24%
Q2 2027
10%
Q3 2027
10%
Q4 2027
10%
Q1 2028
10%
Q2 2028
9%
Q3 2028
9%
Q4 2028

Resolution Criteria

Terran R will launch from Launch Complex 16 at Cape Canaveral Space Force Station, Florida starting in late 2026. The market resolves YES on the date of the first successful orbital launch of Terran R. Resolution will be determined by official confirmation from Relativity Space or FAA/Space Force records. Any launch attempt that does not lift off from the pad does not count.

Market context
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