Resolution criteria

Darnold is the only quarterback to have led his team to a Super Bowl title from the 2018 draft class. The market resolves YES if no other quarterback from the 2018 class wins a Super Bowl as a starter, before announcing their retirement. The market resolves NO if any other quarterback from the 2018 class wins a Super Bowl as a starter. Five quarterbacks were selected in the first round—Baker Mayfield, Sam Darnold, Josh Allen, Josh Rosen, and Lamar Jackson. Two others, Mason Rudolph and Mike White, who were drafted in later rounds are still active. Resolution will be determined by official NFL records and Super Bowl results, verifiable at NFL.com and Pro-Football-Reference.com.

Considerations

The 2018 QB class remains active with multiple quarterbacks still in their prime. The Baltimore Ravens traded back into the first round and used the last pick of Day 1 to scoop up Jackson, who, despite winning the Heisman Trophy at Louisville, fell in Round 1 because of concerns about his passing ability. A midseason hip injury to Joe Flacco opened the window for Jackson. Head coach John Harbaugh stuck with the rookie when Flacco healed up. Josh Allen has established himself as a perennial playoff contender with the Buffalo Bills, making future Super Bowl appearances possible for multiple members of this class.

This description was generated by AI.