Will Keir Starmer lose his seat at the next general election?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ402029
59%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Also resolves YES if Starmer doesn't stand
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
[ACX 2026] Will Keir Starmer cease to be Prime Minister of the UK during 2026?
53% chance
When will Keir Starmer be replaced as Prime Minister of the UK?
If Keir Starmer is out as UK PM in 2026, will he…..?
Will Keir Starmer lead the Labour party into the next General Election?
27% chance
Will Keir Starmer resign in 2026?
30% chance
Who will be the next UK Prime Minister after Keir Starmer?
If Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028?
32% chance
If Labour loses over 1000 council seats in the 2026 local elections, will Starmer cease to be PM in 2026?
67% chance
If Labour loses >1000 council seats & Starmer doesn't leave as PM in 2026, will PM after next election be Labour?
41% chance
If Labour loses over 1000 council seats in the 2026 local elections, will Starmer resign in 2026?
51% chance