Will SADR (Western Sahara) be a sovereign state before 2040?
5
Ṁ90Ṁ1182040
20%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If SADR joins the UN as a sovereign state, resolves as YES
If SADR is self-declared sovereign and has >90% of international recognition, resolves as YES
If SADR is self-declared sovereign and has <90% of international recognition, resolves as the percentage of countries that recognize its independence
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