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How many "safe" House seats will flip in 2026?
4
Ṁ1kṀ2.6k
Nov 2
21%
≥10
17%
≥13
14%
≥16
9%
≥20
7%
≥25

A seat "flips" if won by a different party than won it in 2024. Independents count based on which party they caucus with.

The 68 "competitive" seats are those in Will a Democrat win these US House races in 2026?

This market covers the remaining 367 seats.

Model as of question creation: mean 16, ≥10 covers 92%, ≥20 covers 22%.

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