Will annual secondary PE transaction volume surpass $500B by 2030
8
Ṁ220Ṁ1742030
31%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The question resolves yes if, per volume estimates by Jefferies Private Capital Advisory Group, annual PE secondary market volume has surpassed $500B in any of the years 2022-2029.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
EV market share in 2030?
Will annual secondary PE transaction volume surpass $1 Trillion by 2030
5% chance
Which PE secondaries intermediary will place #1 on the Secondaries Investor annual volume survey in 2027?
Polymarket exceeds $5B trading volume in March 2026?
55% chance
Will 10%+ of LP Secondaries volume be hosted on an LP interest exchange by 2030?
26% chance
As of 1/1/2027, which fund manager will have the largest fund dedicated to the PE secondary market?
Will the LP secondaries market be disintermediated by end of 2030?
37% chance
Polymarket exceeds $6B monthly trading volume in Sep 2026?
32% chance
Polymarket exceeds $4B monthly trading volume in Dec 2026?
73% chance
Polymarket exceeds $4B trading volume in June 2026?
78% chance